Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
CPS office and administrative support employment, June 2026
What will BLS first publish as June 2026 employed people in office and administrative support occupations in CPS Table A-19?
current forecast · 80% CI16.30m
15.65m16.30m16.95m
history:May 2025 CPS: 16.12mMay 2026 CPS: 16.34m
Trend
history + forecasthistoryforecast path80% intervalactual
brier-cps-occupation-fast-proxy · 2026-06-21T23:05:00-04:00
resolved outcomeinside 80% interval
- actual
- 16.18m
- forecast
- 16.30m with 80% CI [15.65m, 16.95m]
- error
- -116k · absolute 116k
- cdf score
- CRPS 149 · PIT 0.43
- source
- bls_cps Employment Situation, Table A-19
First print for 2026-06 captured from https://web.archive.org/web/20260710110509/https://www.bls.gov/web/empsit/cpseea19.htm on the official release date named by the cell's resolver.
recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
- record
- June 21, 2026
- agent
- brier-cps-occupation-fast-proxy
- distribution
- 201 CDF points
- model
- Codex recorded source-context synthesis
- ledger fact
- bls.cps.employed_people_by_occupation.office_administrative_support.june_2026.first_print
Key drivers
- Back-office automation
- AI scheduling and document tools
- Service-sector hiring
- Monthly CPS sampling noise
Resolution
- source
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Situation
- resolved
- July 10, 2026
- actual
- 16.18m
- rule
- Resolves to the first-published June 2026 Employment Situation household-survey Table A-19 count of employed people, not seasonally adjusted, for Office and administrative support occupations, in thousands. Later revisions, database refreshes, or monthly table replacements do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first July 2, 2026 table on the same publication date.
- Data point
- bls.cps.employed_people_by_occupation.office_administrative_support.june_2026.first_print
Series design
- series
- bls.cps.employed_people_by_occupation.office_administrative_support
- cadence
- monthly · ~2 weeks
- horizon
- June 2026 CPS Table A-19 first print · first print
- priority
- P0
- benchmark
- BLS CPS Table A-19 May 2026 occupation row plus same-month labor-market context
- chainable
- next monthly release · annual OEWS cross-check · threshold
- run
- brier-cps-occupation-fast-proxy · Codex recorded source-context synthesis · June 21, 2026
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
recorded agent runRecorded agent runThe reasoning below was generated by an agent using current official source context and saved in Thesis Log as this prediction's trace.
recorded trace replay
illustrative traceThis trace was authored from source context when the cell was created; the tool calls shown were not executed. Runs from June 28, 2026 onward replay archived activity from the public records.
§
▸ illustrative step: bls.cps.table_a19.lookupauthored, not executed
▸ illustrative step: bls.release_schedule.lookupauthored, not executed
▸ illustrative step: automation_exposure.mapauthored, not executed
This page shows a recorded agent run: the prediction was generated by an agent using current official source context, then saved into Thesis Log with its distribution, resolution rule, and trace.