Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
Itemized charitable contributions, TY2026
How much will individual income tax filers deduct for charitable contributions on itemized returns for tax year 2026?
current forecast · 80% CI$305B
$245B$305B$375B
history:TY2019: $236BTY2020: $258BTY2021: $283BTY2023e: $285B
Trend
history + forecasthistoryforecast path80% interval
static prototype estimate · seeded forecast value
recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
- record
- prototype seed
- agent
- prototype seed
- distribution
- 201 CDF points
- ledger fact
- irs.soi.itemized_charitable_contributions.ty2026
Key drivers
- Itemizer count
- High-income capital gains
- Deduction law after TCJA
- Noncash giving and bunching
Resolution
- source
- IRS Statistics of Income individual tax return data
- expected
- December 31, 2028
- rule
- Resolves to total charitable contributions deducted on TY2026 itemized individual income tax returns, in billions of nominal dollars, using the first official IRS Statistics of Income Schedule A or itemized-deductions table covering TY2026.
- Data point
- irs.soi.itemized_charitable_contributions.ty2026
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
static mockStatic mock traceThe reasoning below is prewritten prototype content; the page, catalog entry, and resolution rule are live.
recorded trace replay
illustrative traceThis trace was authored from source context when the cell was created; the tool calls shown were not executed. Runs from June 28, 2026 onward replay archived activity from the public records.
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▸ illustrative step: irs.lookupauthored, not executed
▸ illustrative step: policyengine.simulateauthored, not executed
The route, resolution rule, and catalog entry are live. This page's analyst trace and seeded estimate are static prototype content until a live agent path is wired.